>Racing>WMA Age Grading and Talent Level
For those of you familiar with WMA age grading standards, what do you think is the maximum % a runner of average talent can achieve?
This is just theoretical, so let's set aside practical limitations such as time available to train, access to resources such as top-level coaching and so forth.
Overweight per CDC BMI
Define average runner. I am normally finishing in the top 8-9% of the top local races in my area but my PR's are slow compared to a lot of the amature runners on this forum. I would not consider many people on RA as average runners. My half PR is an age grade of only 58% so even with a few more years of very consistent training, I doubt I will be able to get better than 65% before I turn 40.
Memphis / 36 male
5k - 21:01 / 10k - 45:20 / Half - 1:40:17 / Full - I completed 26.2
Are we there, yet?
I think that will vary a lot depending on the race distance. Since performance in longer events is highly dependent on mileage, and average runners don't run high mileage, age graded rankings are going to be higher for the shorter distances. I ran a few numbers through the AG calculator using a small set of arbitrary numbers, and the values fell in the 50 +/- range.
03/19 Pistol Ultra 50K - 7:27:25
04/02 Alexander County 6-Hour - 25.146 miles
05/14 3 Days at the Fair 12-Hour - 35 miles
05/28 What the Duck 12-Hour Team - 31.68 miles
07/02 Merrill's Mile 6-Hour - 21.7844 miles 09/03 Hainesport 12-Hour 10/08 One Day at the Fair 50K
Can't really define it. Can only infer from expected results vs. actual results. For example, if a runner trains little relative to his peers, is carrying extra weight, and does not execute his races well, yet manages to somehow consistently outperform his peers, that must be due to above-average talent. What else could it be?
Based on the difference in my own numbers between when I was training seriously (60-70 mpw and regular speed work) and more casually (30 mpw and occasional speed work), I expect one could raise the rating by 10-15 points.
if a runner trains little relative to his peers, is carrying extra weight, and does not execute his races well, yet manages to somehow consistently outperform his peers
Steve, seems like you have been paying attention to my running journey for the past 6-12 months...