Forums >Racing>Sub 1:30 Half Marathon in 2020
I was more confident than you about Rotorua but the drunk on power govt seems to be softening people up for yet another extension. At least in Australia the people are starting to push back somewhat.
Apparently the Mt. Roskill Evangelical Fellowship is copping some serious backlash on social media. I'm sure some of it is probably over the top, but the reality is, if you break the rules, and that means we all have to stay in lockdown for longer, then you have to accept the consequence that people are going to be pretty mad at you.
3,000m: 9:07.7 (Nov-21) | 5,000m: 15:39 (Dec-19) | 10,000m: 32:34 (Mar-20)
10km: 33:15 (Sep-19) | HM: 1:09:41 (May-21)* | FM: 2:41:41 (Oct-20)
* Net downhill course
Last race: Waterfront HM, 7 Apr, 1:15:48
Up next: Runway5, 4 May
"CONSISTENCY IS KING"
I am giving Rotorua a 5% chance of happening.
The cluster keeps slowly growing.
Rule breaking is a big problem. Melbourne, Australia massive spike came due to big rule breaking. Such as workers at quarantine sites having sex with people in quarantine.
So rules end up being tighter to compensate for the rule breakers.
PRs: 5km 18:43 (Dec 2015), 10km 39:59 (Sep 2020), half 1:26:16 (Sep 2016), full 3:09:28 (Jun 2015)
40+ PRs: 5km 19:31 (Oct 2020), 10km 39:59 (Sep 2020), half 1:29:39 (Jun 2018), full 3:13:55 (Sep 2022)
2023 PRs (hope to beat in 2024): 5km 20:34, 10km 41:37, half 1:32:32, full 3:21:05
2024 PRs: 5km 20:25
I'm sure they were wearing masks so all good
Melbourne, Australia massive spike came due to big rule breaking. Such as workers at quarantine sites having sex with people in quarantine.
55+ PBs 5k 18:36 June 3rd TT
" If you don't use it you lose it, but if you use it, it wears out.
Somewhere in between is about right "
I am giving Rotorua a 5% chance of happening. The cluster keeps slowly growing.
It's more than 5% but less than 50% although I have no way of proving this - I'd class it as a 'material possibility' i.e. not probable (>50%) but not highly unlikely (<10%).
Only 1 case today - if we got zeroes on two of Saturday, Sunday and Monday and everyone else is contact traced and isolated, it's still possible. Yes I know it's not 1pm yet but trust me on this.
The other possibility is that they move the rest of the country to a new invented "Level 1.5" to placate the masses.
I don't think it's likely but at 5% you are being too pessimistic.
Called it.
Alright, here's a bit of OCD fun. Daily rolling probability of me running a marathon this year:
RIP Milkman
I was just wondering where you were. I should have known how to get you out of your cave.
5K: 16:37 (11/20) | 10K: 34:49 (10/19) | HM: 1:14:57 (5/22) | FM: 2:36:31 (12/19)
I've been keeping my seedy side hidden
Intl. correspondent
PRs: 1500 4:54.1 2019 - 5K 17:53 2023 - 10K 37:55 2023 - HM 1:21:59 2021
Up next: some 800m race (or time trials) / Also place in the top 20% in a trail race
Tool to generate Strava weekly
JamesD
Good luck, Steve!
Morning vs. evening races - For 5K or shorter, I’d rather run in the afternoon or early evening. I’m just looser and more ready to run fast. If my plan C half on Oct. 31 gets cancelled (plan E in Athens on Oct. 25, my only other option before winter, went virtual this week), I may try a nighttime 5K on that day. Never done one of those.
Since tomorrow’s an off day and I end my weeks on Saturday, I can get my weekly in really early. Sunday’s long hills were very slow, but I felt fine the rest of the week. Well, except for today when I tripped on a root near the end of my run and banged my shoulder and cheekbone on the dirt. Could’ve been worse - my head bumped some concrete at the base of a bridge, but my shoulder & cheekbone took most of the impact. Damage was limited to a sore shoulder and some scrapes on my knee, forearm, and especially my face - nothing that should affect my running. I finished my run, and my cadence drills/strides were faster than usual, I assume because of the adrenaline from the fall.
Sun - 5.7 miles including 5 long hills @~2:25, labored
Mon -7.7 recovery
Tues - 10.7 easy
Weds - 37 minutes swimming
Thurs - 12.2 easy
Fri - 6.5 recovery, including strides and a painful fall
Sat - off
Total - about 42.8 miles
12/26/52-week averages - 41/41/39 mpw
Post-1987 PRs: Half 1:30:14 (2019); 10K 39:35 (2019); 5K 19:12 (2017); Mile 5:37.3 (2020)
'24 Goals: consistency, age-graded PRs, half < 1:32
Mother of Cats
Good luck, Steve! Morning vs. evening races - For 5K or shorter, I’d rather run in the afternoon or early evening. I’m just looser and more ready to run fast. If my plan C half on Oct. 31 gets cancelled (plan E in Athens on Oct. 25, my only other option before winter, went virtual this week), I may try a nighttime 5K on that day. Never done one of those. Since tomorrow’s an off day and I end my weeks on Saturday, I can get my weekly in really early. Sunday’s long hills were very slow, but I felt fine the rest of the week. Well, except for today when I tripped on a root near the end of my run and banged my shoulder and cheekbone on the dirt. Could’ve been worse - my head bumped some concrete at the base of a bridge, but my shoulder & cheekbone took most of the impact. Damage was limited to a sore shoulder and some scrapes on my knee, forearm, and especially my face - nothing that should affect my running. I finished my run, and my cadence drills/strides were faster than usual, I assume because of the adrenaline from the fall. Sun - 5.7 miles including 5 long hills @~2:25, labored Mon -7.7 recovery Tues - 10.7 easy Weds - 37 minutes swimming Thurs - 12.2 easy Fri - 6.5 recovery, including strides and a painful fall Sat - off Total - about 42.8 miles 12/26/52-week averages - 41/41/39 mpw
Thank you for beating the Kiwis this week!
(and I'm glad you're not hurt)
Everyone's gotta running blog; I'm the only one with a POOL-RUNNING blog.
And...if you want a running Instagram where all the pictures are of cats, I've got you covered.
Seconded, can't stand how I haven't even done my Saturday run and they're already posting being done with their Sunday run. They're already so annoying with their KM you think they'd show some respect with not time traveling too
James - glad it sounds like nothing serious. I took a tumble a few months back for the first time in a long time and it was quite humbling!
Today's update on the odds. 2 new cases - a zero would've helped things but I'd say chances of Level 1 on Monday are looking slim:
Steve - good luck.
Hot Weather Complainer
Mark - Are you saying you think the Queenstown marathon on November 21 only has a 1.5% chance of going ahead? Or that is the chance of you choosing to do it?
Thanks watson.
Weather forecast has come up perfect. 6-12C (43-53F) from start to finish with light winds. I'm feeling nervous with a touch of fear but feel better when I remember the training I have in the bank, and my conservative strategy (assuming I can pull that off).
5km: 18:34 11/23 │ 10km: 39:10 8/23 │ HM: 1:26:48 9/23 │ M: 3:34:49 6/23
2024 Races:
Motorway Half Marathon February 25, 2024 1:29:55
Christchurch Half-Marathon April 21, 2024
Selwyn Marathon June 2, 2024
Dunedin Half Marathon September 15, 2024
No that’s the chance of me running each of those marathons. I think Queenstown should be a reasonable chance to go ahead.
Weather looking good here for tomorrow morning too. A few people I know have run the course already and the 2.5km loop is consistently coming up at 2.4km haha. It's just a chance to stretch the legs out really though pre-marathon.