>Racing>Sub 1:30 Half Marathon in 2019
Champions League final will be finished by then.
The Bealy is fine with me.
I am staying in Heathcote.
Forecast is looking very windy and cold. Only a trace of rain though.
PRs: 5km 18:43 (Dec 2015), 10km 40:28 (Aug 2019), half 1:26:16 (Sep 2016), full 3:09:28 (Jun 2015)
40+ PRs: 5km 20:34 (Jan 2019), 10km 40:28 (Aug 2019), half 1:29:39 (Jun 2018)
2019 aims: Unlike 2017 & 2018, be consistent. So get 40+ weeks of 40+ miles incl. two quality sessions (5 weeks achieved so far).
Sounds good, Watson I’ll look out for you after the race. Will leave my gear at the bag drop so I’ll catch you inside or outside the entrance to the town hall where the race base is.
We can coordinate with Steve from there.
5000m: 16:03 (Dec-18) | 5km: 16:24 (Nov-18) | 10km: 33:15 (Sep-19) | HM: 1:12:49 (Sep-19) | FM: 2:57:36 (Oct-17)
Last race: NZ Road Relays (Leg 2 / 10.2km), 5 Oct, 35:10
Up next: The Agency Group 10,000m, 9 Nov
"CONSISTENCY IS KING"
I am bib 2402. Will be wearing a Trentham Harriers singlet.
I'm 2068. Blue and gold Takapuna singlet. I gotta say, it is always cool seeing lots of runners on the line in club colours.
Also, to clarify to everyone my earlier post with a billion different weather sources. The reason for doing this was purely to see if there was any sort of consensus amongst the forecasts. As we all know they're based on mathematical models with a whole bunch of different uncertainties in them. If most of the models are saying the same thing, it's generally credible. If they're all saying different things - which they were - then there's no consensus amongst their models. Of course, once you've got a credible view then you can start to plan your race based on that.
The emerging consensus is that it's starting to look like moderate SW's in the low 20km/h range with potentially some showers around too. That's not a strong wind, but certainly enough to be a factor.
The course runs west for the first quarter, then east, then west for the last quarter. Because the 10km, half and full all start at the same time, there should be lots of crowd cover from the wind for the first quarter. The last 5km will be where it might hurt a bit.
Hot Weather Complainer
Yeah the forecast is looking a bit worse as time goes on unfortunately. In 2017 I was on target for a PB until I turned into the heavy rain and wind with 5km to go. On the positive side, no sun strike or ice to negotiate like in 2016!
PB: Christchurch 2016 1:29.25
Recent Races: South Island Half-Marathon 2018 1:32.39 Auckland Waterfront Half-Marathon 2019 1:30.49
Next Race: South Island Half-Marathon, August 4, 2019
Haha good joke Mark. If all the models point in the same direction they are still inherently wrong but just for the same error, for example same erroneous methodology/formulae used.
That said: good luck with the weather and the race! Have fun and you guys have all put up fantastic work, so I am sure that warrants a great experience!
Real time update: Absolutely pissing down in Christchurch
Mark Steve Watson Good luck in the Race hope the weather sorts itself out.
1m 5:38 (2018)
5k 19:59 (2019)
HM 1:33:56 (2018)
FM 3:23:07 (2018)
I thought we were crazy talking about the Boston weather, but this has taken on a new level. We had a forecast of 65, humid, and sun vs. 40, rain, and a headwind. This is...not that. I think Mark now takes the title of official weather worrier on this thread.
In all seriousness - Mark, I learned through Boston that the different weather services don’t necessarily have different models, although that’s true in the US so I’m not sure if it’s true abroad. I couldn’t really figure out what was going on without talking to a weather expert (like weatherboy) about what the underlying mechanics were and why it was so difficult to forecast Boston.
Now, in extra all seriousness - enjoy your race boys! I expect sub 1:16 for Mark, with a chance for PR if his shade of blue is exactly what the gods are looking for that day. I expect Steve to come in at 1:29:59 while battling cramps and using a speared Kiwi beak to fight off the pink unicorn. I expect Watson to be on pace for 1:25 but then discover some lumber along the route, at which point he will stop to build a new house.
5K: 16:51 (8/19) | 10K: 34:49 (10/19) | HM: 1:16:21 (3/19) | FM: 2:44:43 (4/19)
Next Race: Suffolk County Half Marathon (10/27/19)
hahaha oh gosh but I am looking forward to the race reports!
Flavio - Great 3k! Some day I hope to set a PR again myself.
Good luck in Christchurch too all of you who are running there!
Regarding cadence, I don't necessarily agree that you should just do what feels natural, because it might not be right. There are individual differences, but at some point when I picked up running again I started focusing on shorter strides and not reaching forward too much with my leg, and I feel like it really helped my efficiency. I also felt like an advice I got in Norway from an old track coach there really helped, and that was to focus more on pushing back during your stride and then just the forward motion come by itself. And not to compare running to swimming too much, but I would be a complete disaster in the water if I tried to have my stroke match what felt natural to me.
My increased pain lasted for about a week and then more or less went away, and my last visit to the doctor this week showed improvement, albeit a very modest one. But I guess that's how tendon healing goes. Maybe I can be all the way healed on my 1 year anniversary of the injury? I'm also working on strengthening my left side (the side of the injury). It's kind of shocking how much weaker I am on that side, just from slightly favoring my right side for a while.
5k: 20:32 (1/17) | HM: 1:34:37 (2/18) | FM: 3:31:37 (3/18)
Swimming instead of running
Thanks guys - I’m not actually running tomorrow but I’m enjoying the weather anxiety. It will be cold with showers tomorrow but the worst is happening right now, lucky the race isn’t today.
this is my favourite race but the holiday has meant I’m not in race shape and getting a head cold made me decide not to just do it for fun. I’m going out for a run today though...slightly different conditions to a few days ago in Florida
Hmm, some of the roads around by the river which are on the route are closed due to flooding. Rain due to ease off this afternoon so surely it will drain by race start
Rain is due to ease midday Saturday. Very light rain post midday. It will be ok for tomorrow, albeit quite windy which will effect times.
Mark is going to have a rough plan landing today.
Still can’t possibly be as wet as Taupo 2016 or Devonport 2016. Piwi will back me up on this.