Forums >Suggestions and Feature Requests>Race Time Predictor - also use RunningAhead member data

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Race Time Predictor - also use RunningAhead member data (Read 521 times)

mainrun


    posted: 5/23/2009 at 4:40 PM
    RunningAhead's Race Time Predictor uses a formula devised by Pete Riegel. It would be cool to also query member data.

    Example:

    Recent race data:
    Distance: 5K
    Time: 20:18
    Date: 5/16/2009

    Predict time for:
    Distance: 10K
    Date: 6/16/2009
    Predicted time: average 10k time one month after members race a 5K in 20:18 (plus or minus 5 seconds).
    Trent


    Good Bad & The Monkey

      posted: 5/23/2009 at 4:51 PM
      Yes, but you don't always know if logged races represent true race efforts.  For example, I may go out and run a 5k relatively easy (such as what I did last week) or pace a friend.  Those would make the predictor less reliable.
      Teresadfp


      One day at a time

        posted: 5/23/2009 at 5:06 PM
        modified: 5/23/2009 at 5:07 PM
        Yep, even though I'm slow at best, I "ran" my last 5K with a friend recovering from an injury, so we walked a couple of times. A VERY slow time!  Afterwards, though, she thanked me, so I was glad I did it.
        mainrun


          posted: 5/23/2009 at 6:04 PM
          Ah, I see. I don't call a race, a "Race" if I don't give an all-out effort. Both of you make excellent points - dang

           


          dgb2n


          Dave

            posted: 5/23/2009 at 6:11 PM
            I think it would be helpful to include mile splits and average weekly mileage and pace.


            With the right algorithm, we should be able to come up with a crash predictor.


            Based on my last two efforts, I predict mile 21.

            I ran a mile and I liked it, liked it, liked it.

            dgb2n@yahoo.com

            jpnairn


            straw man

              posted: 5/23/2009 at 11:38 PM
              Yeah, I keep a spreadsheet of race results, and there's a column for "excuse" which is either yes or no. If I ran it as a race, there's no excuse if I sucked, unless maybe it's the day after a marathon or something like that.

              We would need something like that in RA for this idea to totally work.

               


              He who has the best time wins. Jerry


              Forums >Suggestions and Feature Requests>Race Time Predictor - also use RunningAhead member data

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