Forums >Racing>Sub 1:30 Half Marathon in 2020
Intl. correspondent
I was wrong. Running/walking/walking the dog - all have been banned 2 days ago here in this region.
PRs: 1500 4:54.1 2019 - 5K 17:53 2023 - 10K 37:55 2023 - HM 1:21:59 2021
Up next: some 800m race (or time trials) / Also place in the top 20% in a trail race
Tool to generate Strava weekly
Mother of Cats
Wow.
Probably not the most important question, but....how do those with dogs manage?
(thinking of you)
Everyone's gotta running blog; I'm the only one with a POOL-RUNNING blog.
And...if you want a running Instagram where all the pictures are of cats, I've got you covered.
Wow. Probably not the most important question, but....how do those with dogs manage? (thinking of you)
No idea. As much as I come here and rant about it, I know it's necessary and the government should probably have been much harsher.
Ok, I need some help from the treadmill people: Keen, DPS, et al
Do you guys recognize any of these brands or could tell me which of these models is better?
Treadmills on Amazon IT
Flavio thanks its monday here and my graph is good now. Before 12pm yesterday it had the week prior and after 12pm it had last week minus monday but today it's good.
Do you have Brent Hanson on Strava? He was the treadmill guru. I see Italys death rate at 10 % but Germany at 1/2 %.
We have our first case in my town now and so getting nervous. My wife is suffering anxiety attacks. She's going to keep our kids home even though school is open. Thethey just found some cases in schools in Auckland.
55+ PBs 5k 18:36 June 3rd TT
" If you don't use it you lose it, but if you use it, it wears out.
Somewhere in between is about right "
not bad for mile 25
Watson - yeah, it's an apartment though it's quite big. Running outside is still permitted, not sure for how long, they've just banned it in Lombardia. The numbers are getting predictably worse. It was expected since it's been only 11 days since we started the soft lockdown (soft in comparison with Wuhan). It was expected that the numbers would start trending down after 2 weeks in lockdown. We'll see if that happens this next week. People get exponentially more nervous because nobody can see the end of it. Once people can see light at the end of the tunnel there will be hope and less anxiety. The US and Spain will be hit much worse it seems. Here's how life could be for us after the tsunami passes: Life in China after the virus
Watson - yeah, it's an apartment though it's quite big.
Running outside is still permitted, not sure for how long, they've just banned it in Lombardia.
The numbers are getting predictably worse. It was expected since it's been only 11 days since we started the soft lockdown (soft in comparison with Wuhan). It was expected that the numbers would start trending down after 2 weeks in lockdown. We'll see if that happens this next week. People get exponentially more nervous because nobody can see the end of it. Once people can see light at the end of the tunnel there will be hope and less anxiety.
The US and Spain will be hit much worse it seems.
Here's how life could be for us after the tsunami passes: Life in China after the virus
Flavio, that is an interesting video. Maybe that's how it will, or should be in America soon. Best wishes for you and your family..
Piwi - The reason is simple. In Germany if a COVID patient dyes while scratching their eyes, the cause of death is recorded as eye scratching
Tell your wife you guys eat at home and lead a tranquil life on a small town. You should have a good immune system going and that will keep you safe.
It's a good call to keep the kids home. It's also a great opportunity to spend more time with them.
Also avoid contact with any elders (as heart breaking that can be).
LedLincoln - thanks for the well wishes. I've been very fortunate through it all so far.
me - some side effects from the pandemic include cooking every day (which is a healthier choice), fresher air and more time to study anything you've been putting aside for a while.
In my case it's been Mandarin Chinese, I'm taking my second lesson tomorrow.
There's a parent of a student at a school down the road who has tested positive - my kids do NOT go to that school.
I'm on the train right now, it has about 50% of normal occupancy. I think working from home will start tomorrow for me, at least I got 5 business days at the new workplace.
PRs: 5km 18:43 (Dec 2015), 10km 39:59 (Sep 2020), half 1:26:16 (Sep 2016), full 3:09:28 (Jun 2015)
40+ PRs: 5km 19:31 (Oct 2020), 10km 39:59 (Sep 2020), half 1:29:39 (Jun 2018), full 3:13:55 (Sep 2022)
2023 PRs (hope to beat in 2024): 5km 20:34, 10km 41:37, half 1:32:32, full 3:21:05
2024 PRs: 5km 20:25
Piwi, Watson - there's no reason to panic. I am no fan of our government but they have handled most of aspects of this pretty well so far and the alert system they are implementing makes complete sense.
At this stage the only ones who should be locking themselves down are those who are at heightened risk. My dad has compromised lung function from an illness a few years ago, so him and Mum have bunkered down, which is the right thing for them to do.
I see some doctors started a petition to go straight to a full-blown lockdown, which unfortunately seems to have fuelled a lot of hysteria (hence why a lot of other doctors said it was a bad idea).
We are mostly working from home, luckily we're quite well set up for it because we are out at clients a lot of the time anyway.
3,000m: 9:07.7 (Nov-21) | 5,000m: 15:39 (Dec-19) | 10,000m: 32:34 (Mar-20)
10km: 33:15 (Sep-19) | HM: 1:09:41 (May-21)* | FM: 2:41:41 (Oct-20)
* Net downhill course
Last race: Waterfront HM, 7 Apr, 1:15:48
Up next: Runway5, 4 May
"CONSISTENCY IS KING"
Hot Weather Complainer
We're working from home indefinitely from later today. I had to sign in at the cafe when getting a coffee this morning.
I think our govt has gone too slow. We're about a week or 2 behind where we should have been.
https://covid.firrm.de/ This tool is predicting us to have 250,000 cases in 28 days on the current trajectory.
5km: 18:34 11/23 │ 10km: 39:10 8/23 │ HM: 1:26:48 9/23 │ M: 3:34:49 6/23
2024 Races:
Motorway Half Marathon February 25, 2024 1:29:55
Christchurch Half-Marathon April 21, 2024 1:27:34
Selwyn Marathon June 2, 2024
Dunedin Half Marathon September 15, 2024
BAD STEVE! BAD STEVE! That model is a very simplified exponential model that doesn't control for any interventionary measures, population density, etc. Basically all it is doing is saying what would the numbers look like if you let the virus loose and did nothing at all.
It uses confirmed cases. That is a prediction based on the current trajectory but will update each day as it changes. Obviously further measures, like a lock down, will slow that down. I don't have much faith in it not exploding soon. A mate of mine just arrived from California in Auckland this morning and was shocked and appalled by the lack of security. Or lack of extra questioning etc. He will self-isolate with his family in the Bay of Islands for 14 days but there are plenty of people who won't do that.
Oh it'll get worse, just not exponentially-uncontained-worse.
RIP Milkman
One thing you keep missing Mark is that this is confirmed cases being used. Given how far ahead we are in this, I’ve done a lot of research on it. Most data seems to point to 20% being asyptomatic throughout the entire length of the disease, and somewhere around 50% are asymptomatic while contagious. That’s very difficult to contain once it’s within your borders, unless you go full authoritarian like China. Again, you have some natural borders that help protect you and maybe it’ll go better, but it’s a very real possibility you guys look just like the rest of the world within 15 days.
Flavio - NYC is getting closer and closer to Italy. We’re not fully there yet, but if NYC was a country itself, it would be top 10 in the world at this point. NYS alone is just behind France. People still aren’t taking it seriously, I cannot tell you how many people in my building that I overhear when walking the dog that they think this is all overblown. I know the other side: I have a couple of friends that are doctors, one still in NYC, who has given me some insight into what is going on. It’s horrifying, they’re already out of ventilators and are jury rigging vents to go from 1 person to 4. Deaths are going to spike in NYC over the next week.
Me - on a happier note, I ran my time trial today and ran a PR! Came home in 1:15:28 on a USATF certified course, so fully legit. I’ll write a race report, perhaps the weirdest one I may have ever written given everything going on and what it required for me to both a) socially isolate and b) run something I felt was legit. But anyway, this may be the proudest I’ve ever been of a PR, with nobody pacing me or riding a bike with me, so it was an incredible mental grind.
5K: 16:37 (11/20) | 10K: 34:49 (10/19) | HM: 1:14:57 (5/22) | FM: 2:36:31 (12/19)
Great work JMac - this is going on the front page.
I'm shocked at how casual a lot of people are at the moment, including my Mum who just turned 70 and has bad asthma. I explained why she should be staying home and what will happen to her breathing. She plans to go out today and said "it doesn't matter, I'm short of breath anyway....". I explained she will be so sick she'll need hospital care and by then that may not be possible but it's still not sinking in. My manager is also very casual about it, organising team coffee out at a cafe. We've got so many other countries we can look at to know what is happening and what to expect and people still seem oblivious.